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The Federal Reserve raised rates to 3.75%-4.00% in September 2026, its first hike since 2023. Here is what the dot plot and the rate cycle mean for the dollar.

UK 10-year gilt yields pushed above 5% in 2026 while the Bank of England held at 3.75%. That fiscal mix is weighing on sterling.

The yen has tested levels last seen in 1986 even after Japan intervened in April and May 2026. Here is why the interventions have not worked.

The euro ran from 1.1394 to above 1.17 against the dollar in 2026 before giving much of it back. ECB projections explain why the trend stalled.